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                                                                                                                                                                          真正的澳门银河网址:1月份国内石油焦市场整体走跌

                                                                                                                                                                          2019-02-02 13:45 长宁新闻资讯网

                                                                                                                                                                            一、价格数据

                                                                                                                                                                            据生意社大宗榜数据(top.100ppi.com)显示,1月份国内主要地炼厂家石油焦产品主流均价,月初为1778.60元/吨,月末为1601.20元/吨,月内下跌117.40元/吨,月涨幅度为-9.97%。1月份地炼石油焦市场上旬大幅下跌,中旬有所反弹,下旬小幅持续走跌。

                                                                                                                                                                            二、影响因素分析

                                                                                                                                                                            分析国内石油焦价格1月走势的主要原因如下:

                                                                                                                                                                            上游原料方面:据生意社监测显示,Brent原油月初53.80美元/桶,月末61.65美元/桶,月内涨幅为14.59%;WTI原油月初45.41美元/桶,月末54.23美元/桶,月内涨幅为19.42%。国际贸易局势改善、股市回暖、美元走弱、EIA原油库存下降,委内瑞拉政局动荡可能导致原油供应收紧,但美国燃料库存飙升和全球经济困境的担忧打压需求前景。

                                                                                                                                                                            下游需求方面:下游电解铝市场开工率低位,对原料市场支撑有限;煅烧焦、阳极价格持续低位,春节备货量有所减少。

                                                                                                                                                                            市场供应方面:1月份山东地炼炼厂石油焦交投较为平稳,春节将至,本月炼厂以去库存为主,月底下游节前采购逐渐减少。

                                                                                                                                                                            三、后市预测

                                                                                                                                                                            生意社石油焦分析师预计:1月地炼石油焦价格走势主要原因是受春节临近,部分炼厂积极去库存;但下游电解铝市场开工率低位,对原料市场支撑有限;煅烧焦、阳极价格持续低位,春节备货量有所减少;且临近年底,多数企业资金现金流紧张;春节将至,运输能力明显下滑,预计2月份地炼石油焦价格整体持稳,部分企业小幅波动,价格或在1500-1700元/吨。